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S&P 500: ATH Test Still in the Cards - Watch Out for a Consolidation-Zone Breakout

Published 2024/08/30, 09:23
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The Dow set a new record on Thursday, marking its third this week, while other major indexes finished lower or flat as Investors weighed Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA)'s earnings and stronger-than-expected US economic growth data.

Although the S&P 500 was poised to test all-time highs at the end of last week, it fell short and is now consolidating sideways, closing flat yesterday.

Meanwhile, with the market still digesting Nvidia's earnings numbers, the Nasdaq remains in a local correction as of yesterday’s close.

As of this writing, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are climbing as the market anticipates the upcoming PCE inflation report.

With that in mind, let’s review the key levels to watch for today’s trading session.

S&P 500 Eyes Breakout From Consolidation

At the end of last week, the S&P 500 appeared set for new record highs following strong gains. Although this remains a likely scenario, the ongoing consolidation this week has delayed the potential breakout.

In the short term, the key factor will be the direction of the breakout. A move above the upper boundary of the current range could signal the formation of new highs.

S&P 500 Price Chart

Conversely, if the index breaks below the lower boundary, a correction could ensue. With few nearby support levels, the extent of this potential correction remains uncertain.

Nasdaq Defends Local Support

The Nasdaq, trailing the S&P 500 in reaching historical highs, has experienced a slowdown.

Nasdaq Price Chart

Gains have stalled near the supply zone around 18,000 points. However, the bearish reaction has been subdued, suggesting that a correction is more likely than a deeper decline.

DAX Breaks Records, Poised for Further Gains

The DAX has demonstrated bullish strength, achieving new record highs around the 19,000-point mark during yesterday's session.

Despite ongoing challenges in the German economy, the DAX's recent bull rally has surpassed its minimum targets and reached new peaks.

With the potential for further monetary easing by the ECB, the index could gain enough momentum to approach 20,000 points.

DAX Price Chart

Recent peaks now serve as support levels. Should the market undergo a shallow correction, these levels may provide opportunities to enter the trend at more favorable prices.

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