
Please try another search
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 18, 2025 20:00
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
4.00 - 4.25 | 2.3% | — | — |
4.25 - 4.50 | 97.7% | 98.3% | 96.5% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 1.7% | 3.5% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.75 - 4.00 | 0.2% | — | — |
4.00 - 4.25 | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 87.2% | 83.8% | 82.6% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 1.4% | 2.9% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.50 - 3.75 | 0.1% | — | — |
3.75 - 4.00 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 53.5% | 58.0% | 52.1% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 39.4% | 32.2% | 38.6% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.5% | 1.3% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.25 - 3.50 | 0.1% | — | — |
3.50 - 3.75 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 31.7% | 36.2% | 29.5% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 46.0% | 43.7% | 45.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 18.5% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.2% | 0.7% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | — | — |
3.25 - 3.50 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 20.1% | 24.0% | 18.7% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 40.0% | 40.8% | 38.8% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 29.9% | 26.1% | 31.0% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
3.00 - 3.25 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 28.0% | 30.3% | 27.2% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 36.0% | 35.3% | 35.5% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 21.1% | 18.6% | 21.7% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | — | — |
2.75 - 3.00 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 17.9% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 31.3% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 29.2% | 27.6% | 28.6% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 22.0% | 23.4% | 21.9% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 30.9% | 31.2% | 30.6% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 24.5% | 23.2% | 24.4% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | — | — |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 14.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 25.3% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 28.2% | 27.5% | 28.1% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 18.3% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 20.3% | 18.4% | 16.5% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 27.0% | 27.1% | 25.9% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 23.2% | 25.1% | 26.1% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 12.3% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 21.2% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 26.0% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 21.6% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 22.0% | 21.8% | 19.4% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 25.7% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 20.2% | 20.4% | 22.7% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.00 - 1.25 | — | — | — |
1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.5% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 22.3% | 22.2% | 19.8% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 25.2% | 25.3% | 25.5% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 19.2% | 19.4% | 22.1% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged higher Tuesday with risk sentiment remaining fragile as the Israel-Iran conflict continues, but gains are limited ahead of the start of the latest Federal Reserve...
Investing.com - European stocks fell sharply Tuesday on fears of an escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran, ahead of the start of the two-day meeting by the Federal Reserve. At 03:05 ET...
Investing.com-- Gold prices steadied in Asian trade on Tuesday after retreating in the prior session on growing uncertainty over U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran war, as well as a potential...
Market reactions remain muted despite Middle East tensions, with volatility limited outside of oil. Focus shifts to Fed as rate cut expectations hinge on data and tariff war impact. EUR/USD eyes a...
I go through the 4 central bank rate decisions (FOMC, BOE, BoJ and SNB), what to expect, and the trifecta of risks (data, war, and tariffs) ahead.
US dollar holds near 98 amid geopolitical risks and a cautious Fed outlook. Markets watch Fed projections, energy prices, and G7 signals for the dollar’s next move. Technical indicators show...