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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Dec 19, 2018 21:00

4 Weeks 6 Days 16 Hours 16 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Dec 19, 2018 21:00
Future Price: 97.720
2.00 - 2.25
24.2%
2.25 - 2.50
75.8%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 24.2% 20.8% 22.6%
2.25 - 2.50 75.8% 79.2% 72.4%
2.50 - 2.75 4.9%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: Jan 30, 2019 21:00
Future Price: 97.610
2.00 - 2.25
23.2%
2.25 - 2.50
73.6%
2.50 - 2.75
3.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 23.2% 19.9% 21.2%
2.25 - 2.50 73.6% 76.7% 69.2%
2.50 - 2.75 3.2% 3.4% 9.3%
2.75 - 3.00 0.3%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: Mar 20, 2019 20:00
Future Price: 97.540
2.00 - 2.25
8.8%
2.25 - 2.50
42.3%
2.50 - 2.75
46.8%
2.75 - 3.00
2.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 8.8% 7.6% 7.0%
2.25 - 2.50 42.3% 41.5% 37.0%
2.50 - 2.75 46.8% 48.9% 49.5%
2.75 - 3.00 2.0% 2.1% 6.3%
3.00 - 3.25 0.2%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: May 01, 2019 20:00
Future Price: 97.425
2.00 - 2.25
8.1%
2.25 - 2.50
39.6%
2.50 - 2.75
46.5%
2.75 - 3.00
5.7%
3.00 - 3.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 8.1% 6.8% 6.1%
2.25 - 2.50 39.6% 38.0% 33.2%
2.50 - 2.75 46.5% 48.1% 48.0%
2.75 - 3.00 5.7% 6.9% 11.7%
3.00 - 3.25 0.2% 0.2% 1.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2019 20:00
Future Price: 97.375
2.00 - 2.25
4.3%
2.25 - 2.50
24.9%
2.50 - 2.75
43.2%
2.75 - 3.00
24.7%
3.00 - 3.25
2.8%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 4.3% 3.4% 2.6%
2.25 - 2.50 24.9% 22.4% 17.9%
2.50 - 2.75 43.2% 43.0% 39.6%
2.75 - 3.00 24.7% 27.5% 32.3%
3.00 - 3.25 2.8% 3.6% 7.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.6%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2019 20:00
Future Price: 97.305
2.00 - 2.25
4.0%
2.25 - 2.50
23.2%
2.50 - 2.75
41.7%
2.75 - 3.00
26.3%
3.00 - 3.25
4.6%
3.25 - 3.50
0.3%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 4.0% 3.0% 2.3%
2.25 - 2.50 23.2% 20.4% 16.0%
2.50 - 2.75 41.7% 40.9% 36.9%
2.75 - 3.00 26.3% 29.1% 33.2%
3.00 - 3.25 4.6% 6.0% 10.2%
3.25 - 3.50 0.3% 0.5% 1.4%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2019 20:00
Future Price: 97.255
2.00 - 2.25
2.9%
2.25 - 2.50
17.9%
2.50 - 2.75
36.6%
2.75 - 3.00
30.5%
3.00 - 3.25
10.6%
3.25 - 3.50
1.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 2.9% 2.2% 1.6%
2.25 - 2.50 17.9% 15.6% 11.6%
2.50 - 2.75 36.6% 35.2% 30.2%
2.75 - 3.00 30.5% 32.4% 34.4%
3.00 - 3.25 10.6% 12.4% 17.6%
3.25 - 3.50 1.5% 2.0% 4.2%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.5%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0%
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2019 20:00
Future Price: 97.215
2.00 - 2.25
2.7%
2.25 - 2.50
16.9%
2.50 - 2.75
35.4%
2.75 - 3.00
30.9%
3.00 - 3.25
11.9%
3.25 - 3.50
2.1%
3.50 - 3.75
0.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 2.7% 2.0% 1.4%
2.25 - 2.50 16.9% 14.5% 10.3%
2.50 - 2.75 35.4% 33.6% 27.8%
2.75 - 3.00 30.9% 32.6% 33.8%
3.00 - 3.25 11.9% 14.1% 19.8%
3.25 - 3.50 2.1% 2.9% 5.9%
3.50 - 3.75 0.2% 0.3% 1.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.25 - 4.50
Updated: Nov 15, 2018 04:19

Fed Fund Rates

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Analysis

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