
Stocks Take a Hit as Jobs Data Hardens Fed’s Response
The Fed will have to harden its stance to break the labor market. But at what cost for investors?The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest jobs report on Tuesday. Since inflation...
The Fed will have to harden its stance to break the labor market. But at what cost for investors?The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest jobs report on Tuesday. Since inflation...
The Nasdaq 100 has been able to hold its own relatively better than many other global indices so far this week. The big technology stocks have been able to hold up the market, while small-...
Despite the expected selloff in September, we remain on track to a very positive year for stocks Bonds, on the other hand, can't seem to catch a break Historical data points to positive Q4...
Despite the ongoing challenges in the market, there are still reasons to be optimistic. Historically, we're entering a period of strong performance in for the S&P 500. With that in mind,...
The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of our recent report, which discussed the long record of the Fed’s economic growth projections. To...
After a rocky September, investors should brace for more violent swings and sharp moves in the weeks ahead. October is expected to be another volatile month on Wall Street. Key factors to...
While September hasn't been kind to stocks historically, the next three months generally more than make up for it History suggests this quarter consists of the best-performing months of the...
Current selloff in stocks is absolutely normal and expected Despite the declines and investors' overreactions to it, we are still in the green for the year Short-term pain is a key part of...
Stocks finished yesterday lower by around 1.5% on the S&P 500, while the Nasdaq 100 QQQ declined by about 1.5%. Meanwhile, rates continued to climb, with the 30-year climbing to about...
Yesterday was a slam dunk day for the bears as whatever support, such as the retention of 4,325 in the S&P 500, was sliced apart. We are now looking at measured move targets for the Russell...
Most of the S&P 500's rally comes from the top 7 components, suggesting a notably lopsided US equity market. The S&P 500 has rallied over 12% year-to-date, but recent analysis showed that...
This was a very interesting week if you were paying attention. On Tuesday, the market declined and then saw a sizeable rally begin later in the day. Then on Wednesday, the market continued...
Compound market returns: During bullish markets, there is inevitably a regurgitation of this myth that was contrived to extract capital from retail investors and place it in the hands of...
Two weeks ago, see here, we found for the S&P 500, using the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP), “Our preferred scenario is for [a] rally to around $4490+/-10, which it achieved today, and then...
As we enter a historically weak period for the stock market, negative investor sentiment has moved above its historical average Meanwhile, recent developments at Adobe have made the stock an...
While the Russell 2000 has recovered from breaks of its 200-week MA before, every such test (and break) of the moving average increases the chance of a flip from a level of support to...
Today's price action will determine how we finish on weekly time frames, but the likelihood of an ugly close to the end of the week is high.If things stay as they are, we will see a breach...
The price of gold is trading just off its all-time high while the price of silver is lagging. Together, they haven’t quite provided mining equities the boost they need to outperform the...
All eyes are on the Fed ahead of a key interest rate decision Markets are expecting a pause from the Central Bank As November's outlook remains uncertain, investors ponder the arrival of...
It has been a rough summer for investors, with markets pushing losses for the last few months. It's not all doom and gloom, with markets more range-bound than permanently damaged.The Russell...
That was quite a week we just had in the market. In fact, if you are a news follower, you are probably confused as hell.Let’s start with the Wednesday announcement of the...
While September has been a bit sloppy so far, will further weakness in October weigh on investor sentiment before the seasonally strong period begins?As shown by the S&P 500 index...
In this video, I talk about how $100 oil affects growth, S&P 500, Dax, and Forex. Learn how to use these trends to identify trading...
All headlines this week will focus on the Fed's decision, but markets had their own big end-of-week finish last week with triple witching options expiration combined with a sell-off to leave...
Following an upswing on Thursday, Adobe's shares took a downturn in today’s session, declining by more than 4% despite strong Q3 earnings fueled by the company’s artificial intelligence (AI)...
Predicting the stock market is impossible, and even dominant players can fall from grace eventually History has shown that new technological trends, or revolutions often lead to...
After Russell 2000 (IWM) pushed down to the 200-day MA in its third test of the moving average since early August, there was an accumulation-worthy counter move higher that returned the...
We often watch the performance of cap-weighted indices versus the equal-weight counterpart.Why? Because divergences in performance often signal market turns.Today is no different as we...
There wasn't a whole lot of change from my last post. The Russell 2000 (IWM) is holding just above its 200-day MA but has been curtailed by its 20-day MA; this squeeze will have to resolve...
Market scorecardUS markets had a great day yesterday, opening in the green and firming throughout the trading session. Technology shares led the charge, clawing back some of last week's...
“(Market) Predictions Are Difficult…Especially When They Are About The Future” – Niels Bohr Okay, I took a little poetic license, but the point is that while we try, predictions of the...
In the short-run, energy stocks are outperforming the S&P 500.The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is at its lowest point since 1983, at 347 million barrels. Established in 1975 from the...
It’s common knowledge that September has historically been a challenging month for stocks, regardless of the timeframe. Since 1928, the S&P 500 has closed down 52 times in September, more...
In our previous update for the S&P 500, see here, we found, using the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP), “… the decline since the July 27 high, at $4707, [to the August 18, $4335 low] counts best...
Market scorecard US markets closed modestly higher on Friday, but the S&P 500 still ended lower by 1.3% for the week. The indices were weighed down by Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Nvidia...
Indexes seem to be running out of steam during a historically lackluster September The tech sector drove the S&P 500 index's rally over the last decade and still continues to do so So,...
High valuations suggest greater risks for US returns over the next decade Against this backdrop, diversifying into other stock markets may help investors achieve above-average returns Japan,...
Friday's brief recovery for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq quickly found itself running into trouble at their respective 50-day MAs. It was a little different for the Nasdaq in that it started the...
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