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Coca-Cola shares downgraded on valuation concerns

Published 2024/09/04, 22:30
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On Wednesday, CFRA announced a change in its rating for Coca-Cola (NYSE: NYSE:KO), downgrading the beverage giant's stock from Buy to Hold. The firm set a price target of $72.00 for Coca-Cola, maintaining its 12-month forecast based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.6 times for the year 2025. This target represents a slight discount to the company's five-year average forward P/E of 24.4 times.

The downgrade follows Coca-Cola's recent stock performance, which saw a significant increase in value. The company's shares have risen nearly 25% year-to-date, outperforming its main competitor, PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP), by roughly four times. This surge came on the heels of a strong second-quarter earnings report where Coca-Cola exceeded expectations for revenue and profits and increased its full-year earnings per share (EPS) guidance.

Despite the positive earnings outcome and the stock's robust performance, CFRA's Garrett Nelson believes that Coca-Cola's current valuation fully reflects its prospects. According to Nelson, the stock is now fairly valued, and with CFRA maintaining an Underweight recommendation on the Consumer Staples sector, the firm suggests there may be more attractive investment opportunities elsewhere.

The decision to downgrade comes amidst broader concerns for the soft drink industry. Factors such as weak consumer spending are expected to challenge price and volume growth for companies like Coca-Cola. CFRA's unchanged EPS estimates for Coca-Cola stand at $2.85 for 2024 and $3.05 for 2025, indicating stability in the firm's financial projections despite the market's headwinds.

In other recent news, Coca-Cola has been receiving favorable attention from analysts and showing promising growth in new markets. Morgan Stanley has raised Coca-Cola's price target to $78, maintaining an Overweight rating, and cited the company's strong pricing power and international market leverage.

The firm's earnings per share reached $0.84, surpassing the expected $0.81, and organic sales rose by a significant 15%, outperforming the consensus projection of 9.6%. Analysts from TD Cowen, Truist Securities, and Argus have responded positively to these results, raising their price targets for Coca-Cola.

Coca-Cola has also updated its employee compensation agreements, offering benefits to employees facing involuntary termination or those who voluntarily leave the company through a separation program. Carlos Pagoaga has been elected as Vice President, now overseeing the company's Global Community Affairs and serving as President of The Coca-Cola Foundation.

The company confirmed an upcoming quarterly dividend of 48.5 cents per common share. Moreover, India has emerged as a key growth area for Coca-Cola, with the company's market share in the country projected to rise to 20.53% in 2023. These are the recent developments in the company's journey.

InvestingPro Insights

As Coca-Cola's stock navigates the market following CFRA's recent rating change, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro can provide investors with a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and stock behavior. Coca-Cola boasts an impressive gross profit margin of 60.53% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reflecting its strong operational efficiency. Additionally, the company has a consistent track record of returning value to shareholders, having raised its dividend for 54 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 2.66%.

However, investors should note that the stock is currently trading at a high P/E ratio of 29.26, which is above the firm-set target P/E of 23.6 for the year 2025. This elevated valuation is also echoed in its Price / Book multiple of 12.09. Furthermore, with a market capitalization of $312.42 billion, Coca-Cola remains a prominent player in the Beverages industry. For those seeking additional analysis, InvestingPro offers more tips on Coca-Cola, including insights on earnings revisions and stock volatility. Visit InvestingPro for a comprehensive list of over 15 additional InvestingPro Tips to inform your investment strategy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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