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FOREX-Euro drops to two-year low before rebound

Published 2019/09/27, 16:35
Updated 2019/09/27, 16:41
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro drops to two-year low before rebound
EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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CBKG
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* Weak eurozone growth outlook weighs on euro

* Loose monetary policy also weighs on single currency (New throughout, updates trading and comments to U.S. market open, changes byline and dateline)

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The euro fell to more than two-year lows against the U.S. dollar on Friday as a weak growth outlook weighed on the single currency, though it rebounded after testing technical support levels.

Dismal business activity data from the euro area, especially powerhouse economy Germany, has pushed European bond yields lower across the board this week, with further pressure coming from concern over economic weakness in Britain. GVD/EUR

"We have had a steady drip of weak data from the eurozone this week and that is highlighting the differences between the U.S. and Europe," said Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) analyst Thu Lan Nguyen, adding that the United States is still showing signs of strength.

Negative interest rates, quantitative easing and other attempts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to stimulate the eurozone economy are also making investment in U.S. government debt more attractive and boosting the greenback against the euro.

“The more recent drift lower in the euro seems to be perpetuated by the continued grind lower in growth expectations, and certainly in realized growth in the eurozone," said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist at TD Securities in New York.

Further ECB stimulus, negative rates and bond buying are also exerting a pull on the euro, he added.

The euro EUR= dropped as low as $1.0903 -- its lowest since May 2017 -- in overnight trading before rising back to $1.0929.

The single currency has technical support around $1.0925, which could provide a floor for the time being.

“We did break below that briefly yesterday, but that was late trading in New York, and so I think there is going to be quite a bit of hesitance to try to push it below that on a sustainable basis,” Issa said, noting that quarter-end rebalancing is also limiting risk taking.

Sterling GBP= was the other big loser after Bank of England policymaker Michael Saunders hinted at looser monetary policy if Brexit uncertainty remained prolonged against a backdrop of disappointing global growth.

The pound weakened to a two-week low of $1.2269 on Friday as his comments raised expectations that the next move from the central bank could be a rate cut. currency later rose back to $1.2318.

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Currency bid prices at 9:56AM (1356 GMT) Description

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.0929

$1.0921

+0.07%

-4.70%

+1.0948

+1.0906 Dollar/Yen

108.0600

107.8200

+0.22%

-2.00%

+108.1600 +107.6700 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

118.13

117.74

+0.33%

-6.41%

+118.2900 +117.4700 Dollar/Swiss

0.9929

0.9935

-0.06%

+1.17%

+0.9948

+0.9915 Sterling/Dollar GBP=

1.2318

1.2322

-0.03%

-3.44%

+1.2336

+1.2272 Dollar/Canadian CAD=

1.3246

1.3268

-0.17%

-2.86%

+1.3278

+1.3245 Australian/Doll AUD=

0.6766

0.6748

+0.27%

-4.01%

+0.6768

+0.6744 ar

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.0851

1.0850

+0.01%

-3.58%

+1.0863

+1.0840 Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8870

0.8861

+0.10%

-1.27%

+0.8896

+0.8847 NZ

0.6303

0.6297

+0.10%

-6.16%

+0.6304

+0.6280 Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway

9.0848

9.0797

+0.06%

+5.16%

+9.1007

+9.0657 Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

9.9325

9.9178

+0.15%

+0.27%

+9.9412

+9.9102 Dollar/Sweden

9.8141

9.7635

+0.59%

+9.49%

+9.8155

+9.7531 Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.7271

10.6642

+0.59%

+4.52%

+10.7296

+10.6524

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