UPDATE 1-South Africa's rand rallies on U.S. rate cut bets, stocks follow

Published 2019/01/04, 17:49
Updated 2019/01/04, 17:50
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-South Africa's rand rallies on U.S. rate cut bets, stocks follow

* Rand reaches best since mid-December

(Adds latest prices, analyst comments)

JOHANNESBURG, Jan 4 (Reuters) - South Africa's rand firmed to a two-week best on Friday as emerging markets were boosted by increased expectations of the U.S. central bank cutting lending rates this year.

At 1430 GMT the rand ZAR=D3 was 0.84 percent firmer at 14.1550 after an overnight close of 14.3075.

"What we're seeing is how a recalibration in the Fed's policy guidance is going to affect emerging market currencies going forward," said Halen Bothma of ETM Analytics.

Traders of contracts tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate kept bets the U.S. central bank will not deliver a single rate hike this year and will begin cutting rates next year. little on the local data front in the first week of the new year, the rand has looked to offshore events for direction, and has seen volatile trade with swings in the dollar setting the tone.

The rand reached a session best of 14.0925 soon after trading in London kicked off before some of the momentum after a surge in U.S. job growth helped steady the greenback .DXY , which traded 0.15 percent higher after a rocky start.

Survey data on Thursday showed U.S. factory activity slowed more than expected, the latest sign the world's largest economy was losing steam, igniting bets the Federal Reserve could switch from raising to cutting rates. aided the rand recovery from Wednesday's "flash crash" that saw the unit plunge to a three-month low in a global selloff.

"Events in the U.S. will remain a determining factor for the rand, contributing to the ongoing capriciousness of the local exchange rate," said Annabel Bishop, senior economist at Investec.

Bonds were firmer, with yield on the benchmark paper due in 2026 ZAR186= down 5 basis points to 8.8 percent, its lowest since mid-August.

Stocks also continued to regain some of the losses they had endured in the first few days of the new year, with the Johannesburg Stock Exchange's top-40 index up 0.96 percent to 46,059 points and the broader all-share index up 0.82 percent to 52,093 by 1511 GMT.

Consumer-focused sectors, namely retailers and banks, led the top-40 index upwards, with Truworths TRUJ.J , The Foschini Group TFGJ.J and Mr Price MRPJ.J at the top, as well as bourse heavyweight Naspers NPNJn.J , which was up 2.3 percent.

Anglogold Ashanti ANGJ.J , meanwhile, was the worst performer on the index, down 4 percent, after benefiting from rising gold prices as investors retreated to safer assets earlier in the week.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.