FOREX-Dollar near two-week high as U.S. jobs data eyed for Fed clues

  • Reuters
  • Forex News
FOREX-Dollar near two-week high as U.S. jobs data eyed for Fed clues
Credit: © Reuters.

* Blockbuster payrolls report Friday may further buoy greenback

* Loonie near three-year high, helped by oil price gains

* Australia's dollar slips amid worsening China relations

* Ether near record high after rallying almost 800% this month

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, May 6 (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near a two-week high on Thursday, consolidating ahead of a key U.S. jobs report that may provide clues on when the Federal Reserve will dial back monetary stimulus.

The greenback has rebounded from a one-month low over the past week, swung by U.S. economic data that has largely supported the case for a rapid recovery from the pandemic, with traders weighing whether a lift in inflation may force the Fed's hand earlier than policymakers have so far suggested.

The Canadian dollar traded near a three-year high, buoyed by oil price gains, while the Aussie slipped amid a deterioration in Australia's relationship with China.

Cryptocurrency ether was close to a record high after setting new all-time peaks in each of the past nine sessions.

The dollar index =USD , which measures the U.S. currency against six major peers, was little changed at 91.311 on Thursday, after rising as high as 91.436 in the previous session for the first time since April 19. It had dipped as low as 90.422 on April 29.

"The USD is likely to continue to respond to the debate about whether or not the Fed's view that inflation will be transitory is correct," Rabobank strategist Jane Foley wrote in a research report.

With several forecasters predicting a one-million-plus increase in nonfarm payrolls, "the USD may continue to find a good level of support in the near-term," with the currency strengthening to $1.19 per euro over a one-month horizon, she said.

The euro EUR=EBS traded right around the psychologically important $1.20 mark on Thursday, a day after dipping to $1.1986 for the first time since April 19.

The dollar bought 109.375 yen JPY=EBS , consolidating after rallying as high as 109.695 on Monday, a level not seen since April 13.

So far, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has argued the labour market is far short of where it needs to be to start talking of tapering asset purchases. The central bank has said it will not raise its benchmark Fed funds rate through 2023.

Three Fed officials spoke on Wednesday, with Chicago Fed President Charles Evans saying that while he was more optimistic about U.S. growth than he was a few months ago, he expects monetary policy to stay super-easy for some time. Fed President Eric Rosengren said inflation will be temporarily distorted this spring as the U.S. economy works through imbalances caused by the pandemic but the pressures should be short-lived and should not lead to a pullback in monetary policy. Fed President Loretta Mester said more progress will be needed in the job market before the Fed's conditions for reducing its extensive support will be met. constant reassurances from (U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet) Yellen and an array of Fed officials that the coming increase in inflation will prove 'transitory,' ... markets are evidently a bit more worried," National Australia Bank strategist Rodrigo Catril wrote in a client note.

The dollar bounced on Tuesday after Yellen said rate hikes may be needed to stop the economy from overheating, though she later downplayed the immediacy of tightening. commodity-linked Canadian dollar CAD=D4 traded at C$1.22665 per greenback after hitting a three-year high of 1.2252 on Wednesday, helped by higher crude prices and optimism over the global economic recovery.

The Aussie, though, fell 0.2% to $0.7728 AUD=D4 after China said it would indefinitely suspend all activities under the China-Australia strategic economic dialogue mechanism. yuan edged higher to 6.4801 per dollar in offshore trading CNH=D4 .

Sterling GBP=D4 was little changed at $1.3899, consolidating around that level over the past two weeks with the Bank of England expected by some forecasters to announce a tapering of its bond-buying programme at a meeting later Thursday, after vaccinations bolstered Britain's economic recovery.

In cryptocurrencies, ether ETH=BTSP traded at $3,462.62 after reaching a record $3,559.97 on Tuesday, skyrocketing nearly 800% this month.

Bigger rival bitcoin BTC=BTSP was around $56,755, vacillating between around $59,000 and $52,000 in recent days. It marked a record high at $64,895.22 in mid-April, but then lost momentum, slumping as low as $47,004.20 toward the end of that month.


Currency bid prices at 0524 GMT Description



U.S. Close Pct Change


High Bid

Low Bid











+1.1993 Dollar/Yen






+109.4150 +109.2250 Euro/Yen




+131.3300 +131.0800









+0.9132 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3






+1.3888 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3






+1.2257 Aussie/Dollar







+0.7701 NZ







+0.7185 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates


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