GLOBAL MARKETS-Buoyed by company earnings, world markets look past virus death toll
* Stock markets firmer, China futures rebound
* Bond yields, oil inch up, gold yen stabilise after bounce
* Fed expected to signal on-hold stance (Updates throughout, changes byline, dateline)
By Sujata Rao
LONDON, Jan 29 (Reuters) - Global markets showed further signs of stabilisation on Wednesday as investors looked past a rising death toll from China's coronavirus outbreak to tiptoe back into shares and out of safe-haven assets such as the yen and German bonds.
World stocks were nearly flat despite a 3% fall in Hong Kong .HSI , where trading restarted after the Lunar New Year holiday, and remained just 2% off recent record highs .MIWD00000PUS following Tuesday's bounce on Wall Street that was aided by robust earnings from Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) AAP.L .
Of the 104 U.S.companies to report results so far, 68.3% have topped expectations.
European shares .STOXX opened firmer after Tuesday's 0.8% rise, which was driven by banks after encouraging results from Spain's Santander SAN.MC , and Swedbank a day earlier .SX7P .
While mainland Chinese markets remain closed, Chinese equity futures traded in Singapore SFCc1 rebounded from two days of losses to rise 1.79%, the biggest gain in almost seven weeks.
"There appears to be more transparency, communication in terms of the virus, and that makes it easier to start assessing the economic fallout. So the markets have taken some comfort from that," said Rainer Guntermann, a rates strategist at Commerzbank (DE: CBKG ) in Frankfurt.
He was comparing the picture with Beijing's secretive stance during the 2003 SARS virus outbreak which enabled the pathogen to spread faster and claim more victims.
Risk aversion has not completely lifted, however; with the number of coronavirus fatalities now at 132 and 6,000 cases reported worldwide, there are fears the outbreak could inflict serious damage on Chinese growth, already at three-decade lows.
A Reuters poll predicted China's manufacturing sector stalled in January, after signs of recovery towards end-2019. Several Hong Kong-listed firms warned of hits to profits and Apple CEO Tim Cook warned of supply chain disruptions. the rate of cases starts to peak, markets are not likely to bounce," said Sean Darby, global equity strategist at Jefferies in Hong Kong.
On currency markets, the offshore-traded yuan CNH=D3 was little changed at 6.9620 per dollar but held off a one-month low hit earlier this week. Australia's currency, considered a China proxy because of trade and investment links was also flat just off three-month lows AUD=D3 .
The safe-haven yen was flat but traded above two-week highs touched on Monday JPY=D3 while the dollar index too edged lower after approaching two-month highs .DXY .
The dollar's next moves could be determined by the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting later on Wednesday where the central bank should reiterate its on-hold stance.
But speculation has risen it could be shaken off autopilot by the virus, with money markets predicting one 25 basis-point rate cut this year and a small chance of a second.
Fears of economic damage are reflected also in the U.S. Treasury yield curve where three-month yields briefly rose on Tuesday above 10-year borrowing costs -- the so-called curve inversion that is seen as a fairly reliable recession signal.
As calm returns to markets, the curve has returned to normal, however, and Commerzbank's Guntermann said pricing rate cuts at this stage was "ambitious".
Treasury 10-year yields were around 1.63%, off three-month lows around 1.57% hit on Tuesday while German Bund yields also inched higher US10YT=RR DE10YT=RR .
Wall Street futures were up around 0.25%, signalling a stronger open on a day that will bring earnings from 47 S&P 500 companies, including Facebook (NASDAQ: FB ), Boeing (NYSE: BA ), General Electric (NYSE: GE ), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT ), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD ) and AT&T.
On commodity markets, crude futures rose for the second day after sharp falls triggered by fears for economic growth and a fall in travel demand, with Brent crude up 1% on the day LCOc1 . Gold, which had surged towards $1600 an ounce on Monday, subsided to around $1560 XAU=
Add Chart to Comment
We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:
- Enrich the conversation
- Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
- Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
- Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
- NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
- Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.
- Don’t Monopolize the Conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also believe strongly in giving everyone a chance to air their thoughts. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
- Only English comments will be allowed.
Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.
Drop an image here or Supported formats: *.jpg, *.png, *.gif up to 5mb
Drop an image here or