EMERGING MARKETS-Trade hopes buoy stocks as markets ready for U.S. rate cut

  • Reuters
  • Stock Market News
EMERGING MARKETS-Trade hopes buoy stocks as markets ready for U.S. rate cut
Credit: © Reuters.

By Susan Mathew

Oct 29 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks inched up to three-month highs on Tuesday, buoyed by cautious optimism about global trade developments, as most currencies moved in narrow ranges before an expected U.S. interest rate cut.

Chances of at least an initial U.S.-China trade deal next month were kept alive after President Donald Trump said a deal looked to be ahead of schedule, and Washington also said it was studying whether to extend tariff suspensions due to expire in December. MKTS/GLOB

Analysts remain sceptical.

"It isn't yet clear that an interim deal that kicks trade worries down the road would be sufficient to allay concerns about the geopolitical, economic, earnings, and policy backdrop," said Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer, UBS Global Wealth Management.

Futures markets are meanwhile fully priced for a quarter-point cut in U.S. interest rates on Wednesday, amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may hold fire on further easing in December.

Most currencies barely moved against a steady dollar, though a marginal rise in the emerging index .MIEM00000CUS took it to a three-month high and put it on course to log its ninth straight day of gains. FRX/

South Africa's rand ZAR= climbed ahead of a budget speech on Wednesday by Finance Minister Tito Mboweni that is expected to signal a wider budget deficit, higher debt and lower growth projections. .J

Turkey's lira TRY= was flat as the United Nations special envoy for Syria called for a ceasefire in northeastern Syria to be extended. The lira has lost 1.6% this month as Turkey, Russia and Iran have attempted a series of truces, but fighting has rumbled on. stocks .MSCIEF , mainland China shares were dragged lower by techs, while Hong Kong shares .HSI slipped after forecasts of a possible full-year contraction of the city's economy. Istanbul .XU100 and Johannesburg .JTOPI shares lost around 0.4% each. .SS

But a rise of above 1% in India stocks .BSESN .NSEI , and smaller gains in Taiwan .TWII , Russia IMOEX and Hungary .BUX more than offset those losses.

In Argentina, the peso ARS= ARS=RASL jumped overnight as the central bank tightened capital restrictions following Sunday's presidential election win by centre-left Alberto Fernandez. He has promised to "turn the page" on IMF-backed policies blamed by many for leading to austerity. sovereign dollar-bonds fell further following a central bank warning that the country has just days to find a solution to its economic crisis as banks remain shut for a ninth day.

The 2021 issue XS0250882478=TE dropped 1 cent to a record low of 75.29 cents in the dollar, according to Tradeweb data, with yields at 30.1%.

For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance 2019, see http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance 2019, see https://tmsnrt.rs/2OusNdX

For TOP NEWS across emerging markets CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see CEE/

For TURKISH market report, see .IS

For RUSSIAN market report, see RU/RUB

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