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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 10.7x - 11.8x | 11.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10.2x - 11.3x | 10.7x |
| Fair Value | ﷼119.68 - ﷼131.05 | ﷼125.36 |
| Upside | -15.7% - -7.6% | -11.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Batic Investments and Logistics Company | 4110 | SASE:4110 |
| DCC plc | DCCP.F | OTCPK:DCCP.F |
| Hikari Tsushin, Inc. | HKTG.F | OTCPK:HKTG.F |
| Keppel Ltd. | BN4 | SGX:BN4 |
| Guoco Group Limited | GULR.F | OTCPK:GULR.F |
| Astra Industrial Group Company | 1212 | SASE:1212 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4110 | DCCP.F | HKTG.F | BN4 | GULR.F | 1212 | ||
| SASE:4110 | OTCPK:DCCP.F | OTCPK:HKTG.F | SGX:BN4 | OTCPK:GULR.F | SASE:1212 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 20.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 20.3% | 1.8% | 8.8% | 22.8% | 37.8% | 18.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.9% | 1.1% | 6.2% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 17.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.4% | 4.2% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 19.5% | 20.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.6% | 4.0% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 21.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.6% | 4.2% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 24.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.5% | 4.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 26.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.07x | 0.33x | 2.91x | 2.59x | 1.66x | 3.52x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.6x | 7.7x | 17.1x | 15.3x | 7.7x | 13.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 111.8x | 11.9x | 19.5x | 19.2x | 9.1x | 14.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 15.3x | 24.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 10.2x | 18.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.7x | 11.2x | 11.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 796 | 796 | 796 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,484 | 8,930 | 9,377 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 939 | 939 | 939 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,423 | 9,869 | 10,316 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 117.78 | 123.36 | 128.94 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 117.78 | 123.36 | 128.94 | 141.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -17.0% | -13.1% | -9.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4110 | DCCP.F | HKTG.F | BN4 | GULR.F | 1212 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,519 | 5,932 | 2,545,426 | 16,662 | 4,766 | 10,413 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 119 | 1,088 | 325,345 | 1,942 | 3,119 | 795 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 71 | 252,477 | 9,024 | 2,901 | 644 | |
| (-) Debt | (286) | (2,311) | (886,972) | (11,692) | (5,410) | (479) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9) | (95) | (31,039) | (346) | (2,307) | (21) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,344 | 4,686 | 2,205,237 | 15,589 | 3,070 | 11,352 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 97.1 | 52.5 | 1,806.4 | 368.0 | 80.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.24 | 48.26 | 42,026.96 | 8.63 | 8.34 | 141.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.74 | 147.46 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.24 | 65.16 | 285.00 | 8.63 | 8.34 | 141.90 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | USD | USD | SGD | USD | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.74 | 147.46 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |