
Treasury Market Predicts Fed Rate Hikes Are Done
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees.The 2-Year Treasury yield – widely monitored...
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees.The 2-Year Treasury yield – widely monitored...
I was going to write a technical column today about how the sensitivity of bonds (and consequently, lots of other asset prices) to interest rates increase as interest rates decline, and...
Interest rates have risen rather quickly as the Federal Reserve attempts to fight inflation. Will the move be a case of too far, too fast?Today’s long-term monthly chart of the United States...
Important inflation data hits Tuesday before the Fed finishes its final meeting of the year on Wednesday Corporate bond spreads should continue to be monitored, but we are not seeing...
The past few years have seen extreme volatility in the bond market, equating to similar interest rate fluctuations.And it all started with the onset of the coronavirus. The initial panic...
Considering our national debt and the debts of companies and consumers, it’s evident that the bond market is critical to our economy.This is likely why the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade...
Weaker domestic inflation and lower dollar tailwinds for international fixed income Emerging market bonds have rallied sharply off their October low Continuation likely, but gains could be...
For someone who uses the bond markets as important indicators to the macro analysis, I am the furthest thing from an astute bond trader and am certainly not a bond investor. This probably...
Last month I reported that the ‘fair value’ of the US 10-year Treasury yield appeared “lofty” relative to the average estimate for a combination model. In the weeks...
The recent rise in real yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) looks compelling for locking in relatively attractive payout rates, but the usual risks with bonds still applies. That...
2-year Treasury rates could be on their way to between 4% and 4.25% Fed monetary policy could be the main driver The 2-year appears to be breaking out from a technical standpoint Rates have...
Treasury rates fell sharply as interest rate volatility dropped High-yield bonds rose big last month, but uncertainty lies ahead Traders monitoring important technical pattern on U.S....
Avoiding another 75-basis-point hike in September looks tough Policymakers say focus should be on inflation, not recession Central banks, including the Fed, made mistakes that have led to...
Fed policymakers leaning to 75 basis-point hike this month FOMC voter Bullard calling for 4.0% policy rate by end-2022 ECB faces dilemma as Russian gas cuts dampen economic outlook Federal...
The MOVE Index measures Treasury rate volatility through options pricing Daily bond market swings are the wildest since the Global Financial Crisis Yield volatility and credit spreads are...
Investors in US Treasuries face a dilemma as they are caught between an economy that seems very strong but faces challenges from soaring inflation and Federal Reserve rate hikes to cut it...
Irish Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe, who heads the so-called Eurogroup of EU finance ministers, felt obliged this week to reassure bond market investors that the eurozone does not face...
This article was written exclusively for Investing.comThe iShares U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF suffered its worst back-to-back daily drop since COVID Broad fixed income is down close to 30%,...
Yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury soared more than 20 basis points on Monday, rising to 3.37% as bond investors bet the Federal Reserve would have to get more aggressive about hiking...
Surging inflation and sinking bond markets have shifted to Europe this week, as initial CPI readings in the European Union point to accelerating price increases of more than 8% on the...
In normal times, stocks and bonds are negatively correlated—that is when stock prices tank, bond prices rise (and yields, which move inversely to prices, go down). The idea is that investors...
Up, down, up, down—US Treasury yields are bouncing around as investors try to balance worries about inflation with concern about a global economic slowdown, or even a recession.Good news,...
Bond investors are confused—and no wonder. Central bank officials keep telling them to ignore the evidence in front of their eyes.They are supposed to believe that inflation, which has been...
Surging yields on US Treasuries crossed the 3% threshold amid a price rout on the government bonds (yields rise as prices fall) in Monday trading ahead of this week’s meeting of the Federal...
U.S. Treasury investors are on a roller coaster as yields climbed on interest-rate fears and then plunged on growth worries.Remarks last week by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell about...